About this blog, starting bets

The point of this blog is to track my bets, the idea being that having to write every bet out will force me to make better decisions to avoid looking like a tit.

To start with, I’m gonna list out all of my current positions. All new bets will be added as and when I do them.

Politics Bets

Market	Selection	Avg Price	Size
Next GE - Most Seats	Conservatives	2.29	£1,014.51
Next GE - Most Seats	Other	11.82	£165.00
Next Tory Leader	Boris Johnson	4.57	£477.00
Next Tory Leader	Gavin Williamson	153.82	£4.00
EU Elections in May?	Yes	1.13	£6,790.00
PM May Exit Date	Apr '19 - Jun '19	6.72	£601.02
PM After May	Boris Johnson	6.43	£678.30

BACK (bet for)
LAY (bet against)

Options Positions

These have been placed at various points in last few months, all options bought:

Asset	Strike Price	Expiry	Price	Amount
AUD/USD	0.70	06/03/20	0.02053	1
AUD/USD	0.61	06/03/20	0.00273	4
AUD/USD	0.675	07/06/19	0.00113	3
AUD/USD	0.64	09/08/19	0.00083	8
QAN	4.20	26/03/20	0.173	25
EWA	20.00	18/10/19	0.585	17
EWA	18.00	18/10/19	0.238	40
EUR/USD	1.03	17/06/19	0.00017	14
AUD/USD	0.56	06/09/19	0.000125	45
BA	170.00	21/06/19	0.135	20
BEN.ASX	10.25	24/10/19	0.643	13
EWA	18.00	19/07/19	0.20	28
ANZ.ASX	20.00	26/09/19	0.283	15
SCG.ASX	3.00	26/03/20	0.078	100
SGP.ASX	3.70	24/10/19	0.208	44
SCG.ASX	3.20	26/09/19	0.048	135
MGR.ASX	2.80	24/10/19	0.163	53
GE	3.00	15/01/21	0.175	41
AUD/USD	0.60	06/12/19	0.00253	4
WBC.ASX	20.50	26/09/19	0.198	40
BOQ.ASX	7.75	27/06/19	0.088	100
BEN.ASX	8.50	27/06/19	0.088	100
AUD/USD	0.64	07/06/19	0.00063	17
NAB.ASX	19.50	26/09/19	0.244	58
GLD	140.00	20/09/19	1.008	13
GLD	140.00	30/09/19	1.305	40
CBA.ASX	53.00	26/09/19	0.383	40
GLD	128.00	21/06/19	1.346	10
EUR/USD	1.00	06/09/19	0.000344	38
EWA	16.00	19/07/19	0.251	60
EUR/USD	1.07	07/06/19	0.0008	18

CALL (bet for)
PUT (bet against)

The options bets are 100% bearish, with the only calls being on Gold ETF! This being the first business cycle where I’ve followed financial markets, I’m interested to know if I’m one of the “permabears” or someone who is bearish because it’s the right position for now. I hope it’s the latter, but time will tell.